NFL Closing Line Value (CLV)
You: -102 · Fair @ your line: +115 · Better price than fair · Line moved in your favor
Current: 10¢ per 0.5
Half-Points Moved
2.0
Direction (model)
+ toward plus
Equivalent Closing Odds @ Original Line (raw)
-87
Model shift from closing odds
Equivalent Closing Odds (converted)
+115
Implied-prob normalized (e.g., -82 → +122)
Equivalent Closing Odds (market-rounded)
+115
No rounding
Implied Prob — Your Bet
50.50%
Implied Prob — Equivalent @ Orig Line
46.51%
Edge (Probability Points)
-3.98 pp
Negative = you beat the close
Edge (Cents vs Close)
+20.0¢
hp moved × cents/0.5 × direction
- Totals move in 0.5 increments.
- Odds accept +120 / -110 / EV; positive odds display with a plus sign.